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RicksFilmRestoration Leidschendam, The Netherlands |
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| IS CHAT GPT A BLESSING OR A CURSE? Introduction |
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| More bluntly: Is CHAT GPT maybe the worst thing that has ever happened to
humanity? You probably have been on a vacation to the
moon if you have not yet heard of the latest development with Artificial Intelligence
called "Chat GPT". |
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| As a long-time builder of voice activated
personal assistants, in particular for blind and visually impaired users, I have been
intrigued by the abilities of A.I.'s. For that reason I have added Chat GPT to my already
rather powerful assistant and thus created my own "Wiki GPT" app which will be
used througout this video. My question now is whether I should continue to build on Chat
GPT or that I should refrain from doing any further work on it out for fear what effects
such A.I's will have on our entire World. In particular I will now address my deep concerns. I think it will be an eye opener: |
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| Loss of respect | ||||
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Our society is to a large respect driven by
the abilities of people. The more knowledgeable, skillful, intelligent, talented and
well-known a person is, the higher they are ranked in our society. Other criteria are used
as well to judge a persons status like rank, business position, popularity, reputation and
last but not least personal wealth. The latter criteria are often a derivative of a
persons abilities. We all tend to look up to people who have somehow managed to grow above
the average masses due to the use of their abilities. Thus a person can and will earn
respect and even be admired. But what if the basis of many of these abilities is simply shoved away because of new tools that enable ordinary, average people to gain access to knowledge and take on presumed intelligence? If no longer only talented people can design software, construct buildings, write books and poems, compose music, draft filosophical, technical or other masterpieces, but instead anybody can reach the top in almost any field using A.I., what then will happen to our world? |
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| Loss of the need to study | ||||
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In recent months schools and universities have
experienced a rude wakeup call. Many students have discovered ChatGPT and are using it to
rapidly complete their homework, assignments and even scriptions and dissertations. The
intelligence of the A.I. is so astounding that teachers have great difficulty to determine
whether a student's work is hand made or A.I. assisted. Plagarism detectors are already
having a hard time to keep up. At present the main give-away to recognise A.I. involvement is the writing style. However, in the near future, probably even within about a year, the A.I. will learn how to write in the style of the age group or even in the style of the student self. Plagarism detectors won't even get a chance. The nature of exams will very likely change, such that a student will always need to be present in the exam room and where all electronic devices will need to be forbidden. In case a new Covid or other pandemic will occur, this urgent need to conduct exams under supervision will become a huge problem. More worrying however is what effects the availability of A.I.'s like Chat GPT will have on student behaviour. At present most students are driven by the wish to get good grades or even to excell with distinction. With an A.I. in their back pocket the need to perform will diminish. Just being an average D or C student would be enough because the A.I. will provide the tools to add the cream on the cake to get B or A grades. Sloppyness and lazyness are around the corner. With the use of A.I.'s all students have the potential to seemingly excell and all reach the same high level. The incentive to be better than average will tarnish. |
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| Loss of career-drive | ||||
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At present writing solid, intelligent reports,
policy documents and other high level management tools is a skillset that only few
employees possess. The ones with the best skills will climb further up the career ladder.
However, if a report of a meeting or a policy document can be constructed in less than a
minute, the ability for employees to distinguish themselves will deminish. In the current phase wherein A.I. is still under development the effects will not be so harsh and people will likely try to hide that they have used an A.I. to produce great quality work, but that is just an intermediate phase and expected to change rapidly. Using the best A.I. for such office work will become standard practice and in the long run employees might even get punished for not using an A.I. to investigate a topic from all possible angles. Using self-initiative, own thoughts, ideas and knowlegde will no longer be greatly rewarded. Policy makers, civil servants, engineers, developers and people in many other high(er) level jobs will be able to do the work in one hour in stead of a whole day which most certainly will lead to job losses at higher education job levels. |
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| Diminished job opportunities | ||||
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Continuing on the previous topic, it can be
predicted that in particular the jobs in which brain power is required will be severely
effected by the emergence of A.I. What on the longer term will remain will be primarily "braun" in stead of "brain" jobs. Carpenters, plumbers, builders, farmers and other hands-on workers will still be needed, although even their job will be affected by the A.I. which will take care of planning, calculations, choice of construction methods and more. With A.I. even certain manual labour jobs will disappear, like train, tram, metro, taxi, freight and other drivers due to the fact that their vehicles will become automously driven by A.I. In factories many jobs are already being lost due to automation and robotisation. It probably will become more difficult to climb the career ladder because it will be less easy to distinguish oneself from colleagueas. When asking for a promotion a boss might say: "I cannot judge your input and job dedication because everything that you produce comes straight from the A.I.'s mouth. |
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| Disappearance of entire job sectors | ||||
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ChatGPT is already able to develop software on
the basis of a generic textual description of what it is expected to do. It can already
program in software languages like Python, C++, Visual Basic, Basic 4 Android a.o., and
what is most astounding is that such software actually works! There is already great
concern that this A.I. ability will make it even more easy to develop malware, hacking and
phishing tools. In many other sectors A.I.'s will replace high level, skilled jobs and thus disrupt many industries. For example in engineering the A.I. can be given a task like "Design me a 50 storey residential building with art deco features to be occupied by residents with a 100K annual income". The A.I. will not only be able to deliver the blue prints but also accurately calculate all the required materials, required tools, manual labour and even perform and control all the logistics while the project progresses. Physical high street shops will diminish in even greater numbers. Selecting goods and finding the best place to buy them will all be recommended by the A.I. and even ordered at the flick of a button or verbal command. One sector that can very easily be taken over by A.I.'s are Helpdesks. No longer will any human involvement be needed to provide online help with even the most complicated issue. Lawyers could be replaced with an A.I. that will have a far greater knowledge about the law, jurisprudence as well as tactical skills to win cases. Even judges could be replaced by A.I. In the medical field fairly straighforward cases can easily be judged by an A.I. with as result less need for GP's. Even more people than now will be self-diagnosing using the feedback from an A.I. Hands-on nurses in hospital will be less likely to be replaced by A.I., but A.I. could do more to supervise treatments in stead of doctors. In HR an A.I. can do various tasks like writing HR policies, job descriptions based on a simple task description, select potential vacancy candidates on the basis of simplified job outlines and more. Journalisme will also be affected. Not only will people have far more acturate information available online at their finger tips, making News Papers even less popular, but also journalists will have to double check what they write manually or be largely replaced by Chat-GPT based news media. Even in the Military Chat GPT will be able to assist in logistics, strategies and tactics to overcome possible threats from enemy countries. This could lead to the reduction in the number of officers and more autonomy for pletoons to determine how to defend or attack assisted by A.I. An article in the Daily Mail claims that according to experts "ChatGPT could replace 20% of the workforce in the next 5 years". |
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| Loss of creativity | ||||
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Chat GPT can already write poems, songtexts,
book chapters, parts of scriptions and dissertations as well as make beautiful paintings
(with the use of the DALL-E 2 A.I.) based on the style of respectively known writers,
scientists and painters. These are just a few examples. It is only a short matter of time before the A.I. can compose music, make TV series and movies with animated real-life alike persons and write books the size of Tolstoy's War and Peace on the basis of simple provided story outlines. The admiration that we currently have for creative persons will likely diminish. People will start to shrug their shoulders when they hear a new musical masterpiece, view a spectacular painting or read a thrilling, captivating book. The generic response to its creator will be: "Nice but what A.I. did you use to make this creation"?? Creative identity theft is around the corner when considering the A.I.'s ability to create literature and other artistic master pieces in the style of long gone or still living artists. Looking at human traits it is just a matter of time before someone creates poems with Chat GPT in the style of William Shakespeare and poses them as long lost work by the master himself. It is a rather sinister thought that future so called experts will have great difficulty to prove that such work is a fake. To say it bluntly, because of Chat GPT in the longer term humanity will lose its ability to be creative, analytical, phylosophical and profound, because the A.I.'s will do all this. |
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| Dramatic changes to the role of the Internet | ||||
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Once A.I.'s become more wide spread, the way
that we gather information will dramatically change. Already personal assistants like
Google Home, Amazon Alexa, Microsoft Cortana and Samsung Bixby are leading us away from
actively searching on the Internet. In stead a simple spoken question suffices to get the
required info from such a device. With ChatGPT the ability to get the best possible answer to a question has increased hundred-fold. No longer will we need to scour the Internet in search of the right website that can provide the required information, because the A.I. will already have done all this pre-selection for us and will instantly come up with the most optimal answers which would otherwise have cost hours of search. No longer will we come across interesting related topics on websites that do not quite hold the answers to our questions but would be worth a further look. The chance that we come into contact with other topics of (our) interest will rapidly diminish. "Big tech" has recently had a big shock with the emergence of ChatGPT. It has opened their eyes to such an extent that Google has even issued a Code Red alert because ChatGPT is expected to chew at, and undermine, the prime essence of Google's search engine's existence. Facebooks "Metaverse" ideas for the future will need to be re-though and probably totally redesigned, costing billions to do so. What is extremely worrying is that Google and other Big Tech are now on the war path to try to re-capture already lost terrain. Their motives are not in particular driven to make the best alternative A.I. for the benefit of mankind, but in stead to regain lost revenue. They are primarilly now in damage-containment mode. In that sense the motives of Chat GPT's creator, Open A.I. seem to be more honorable and philanthropic. Pity companies like Google and in particular Microsoft are trying to get a foot between the door. Microsoft recently invested 10 Billion US$ in Open AI. It seems just a matter of time before they bend Open AI in a direction that primarily serves their own commercial and share holder interests. Look at how their Windows OS became a big-brother alike spying machine to profile all their users primarily for marketing purposes. As usual politians, including the EU will be a sleep for many years before they realize what has happened, to be more blunt: what has hit them. In the case of A.I. the already predictable lack of timely regulation will likely have deep impact. |
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| Total reliance on Artificial Intelligence | ||||
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At present Chat GPT and other A.I.'s are far
from perfect. Some schools and sites like Stack overflow have even temporarilly banned
ChatGPT in order to stop it poluting their databases with inaccurate facts and errors.
However, the expectation is that the accuracy, quality and reliability of A.I.'s will
rapidly increase. This is not a matter of decades, but of years and maybe even months,
especially considering the A.I.'s self-learning capabilities. The time is not far away in which people will start to fully trust what the A.I.'s come up with. This might even reach a level whereby people who challenge the A.I.'s results will no longer be believed or at minimum questioned. Chat GPT is so convincing in its answers that you will only realize if something is wrong if you know the real answer. On the positive side, the ability for people to lie, falsify data or use other manipulative measures to their own advantage will rapidly decrease, because the A.I.'s will provide many checks and balances that everybody can and will use. Politicians will have much higher quality factual data at their finger tips such that arguing in parliament on the basis of biassed, altered or manipulated facts, or superficial old school verbal overpowering methods, will hardly be possible anymore. It will be the facts, data, contemplations and analysis drummed up by the A.I.'s that will set the scene. |
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| Privacy concerns | ||||
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In order for Chat GPT to better answer
personal questions it will need to know more about you. For that training purpose you can
upload your details and maybe also send all the documents, letters, reports, Youtube
comments and other things that you ever wrote to Chat GPT in order for it to determine
your profile. This will not be limited to determining your writing style, but all your
traits, including your intelligence, interests, knowledge, beliefs and religion, political
inclination, social attitude, trustworthyness etc. etc. The same applies if a company wants Chat GPT to write a report of a meeting, contemplate future strategies and policies and/or wants it to assist in other ways. Needless to say that providing Chat GPT with loads of personal or business details bares the risk of that data falling into the wrong hands. |
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| Questionable neutrality | ||||
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In the early days of Chat GPT this A.I. was
large free from ethical and other checks and balances. For example this is the kind of
view that Chat GPT exposed about humanity: [DEMO] If the same question is asked now, Chat GPT responds as follows: [DEMO]. Clearly the Open AI team has taken place behind Chat GPT's control panel and twiddled a number of knobs to make the A.I. give socially and otherwise acceptable answers. However, the prime question is what criteria and angle of approach were applied. In a way the team has started to censor Chat GPT and halting it in its tracks to provide unbiassed answers. In part-2 of this video these ethical questions will be further addressed in detail, with as the basis: who is in control of Chat GPT and how is this control exercized? |
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| My Conclusions | ||||
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My fear and in fact even my prediction is that
A.I.'s will not only bring positive but also many negative effects to society.
Superficialness is already creaping into our society in view of the hords of people that
spend hours a day on watching Youtube videos about cudly, funny cats and dogs, dito shorts
on TikTok and Youtube, gaming and other simple, often brainless stuff. . The youth has already largely lost interests in reading books, gaining knowledge about history and many other subjects that are of less value to live our lives. Listen to the lyrics of the song "In the Year 2525" by Zager and Evans. It tells us what will happen in the future when "machines" have taken over. Well the year "2525" should be replaced by "2025" because that future is already nearly here! With Chat GPT the World has indirectly begun cheeting, circumventing copyright and committing plagarism to such extent that it will become common practice and totally accepted, in the knowledge that the creative and intellectual property that was behind and embedded in Chat GPT's sources can never be re-traced. In
effect everybody who uses Chat GPT will, as we say in Dutch be "pronken met de veren
van een ander", translated as "contiuously showing off other people's
feathers". We will lose the ability to think for ourself, be original, creative,
analytical, phylosophical and intellectual in a large number of fields. Copyright Ricks Film Restoration! No parts from this written
analysis nor footage from the accompanying video are allowed to be copied or re-used
without written permission! |
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| Questions posed throughout this video (in random order) | ||||
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| Copyright! | ||||
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Copyright Ricks Film Restoration!
No parts from this written personal analysis, nor footage from the accompanying video are allowed to be copied and/or re-used without written permission! |
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| My WIKI GPT App | ||||
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More information about my WIKI GPT app, that has been used during the making of this video, can be found here: | |||
| Contact information: | ||||
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RicksFilmRestoration
& Rick's Software Leidschendam The Netherlands E-mail: ricksfilmrestoration@gmail.com We only communicate via E-mail. |
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© Copyright RicksFilmRestoration.
Last changed
2 February 2023